Population Estimates for Missouri and Across the U.S.

Rev. 6/26/2018

This Year (2018)

We received and processed the first cycle of county level estimates for each year 2010 to 2017. These are the components of change estimates.

We received and processed the sub-county estimates in late May. Estimates for places, places-within-county and MCDs. These data were used to create the Curmoests.xlsx file (all data for Missouri - see link, below).

Estimates Schedule

See the official Census Bureau Schedule of New Estimates page to see what and when to expect the rest of this year and next.

See also: FAQ | Census Bureau estimates page | popests data (via Uexplore).

Our Best Estimates

  1. Access the Curmoests.xlsx Excel spreadsheet with the latest available population estimates for Missouri counties and places (incorporated cities). Last updated 5/25/18 with state, county and place estimates thru July 1, 2017. You can also get earlier versions of this spreadsheet with post-2000 estimates for the previous decade in the popests data directory.

  2. Run the MCDC's Population Estimates by Age web application to dynamically generate estimates by age, race, sex and hispanic origin for U.S. states and counties, for years 1990 to 2016 (or later).

  3. Access various reports based on data in the popests data directory at /pub/data/popests/Reports. This page provides links to both the reports and to the underlying datasets used to generate them.
  4. Population Trends is a dynamic web application that can generate customized trends reports at the state or county level for various time periods. Change and Percent Change values, both total and annualized are shown to facilitate comparisons over time. You get to choose
    • the geography (states and/or counties for the entire U.S.)
    • time periods (intervals such as 1990-2000, 2000-2010 and 2010-2013)
    • demographic categories, based on age, race and ethnicity
    This application uses the detailed estimates from NCHS so the latest available data are currently for 2016 (as released in June, 2017). Race categories used are the four "bridged" values.

  5. Generate a brief report with bar chart showing annual population change for any US county from 2000 to 2017 (or most recently available year) using the MCDC's annual state and county population trends web application.
  6. You can access state and county level population estimates with components of change, 2010-2017 (or most recent year of estimates), for the entire U.S. in our data archive using the uexplore/dexter software. The datasets are in the popests data directory, most easily accessed via the Datasets.html directory page. The four most pertinent data sets are mocom17, uscom17, mocomrgrns17 and uscomcbsas17. The first two consist of state and county level summaries, while the latter two are the result of our aggregating the data to get metro area and other county-based region summaries.
  7. The Applied Population Lab at the Univ of Wisconsin-Madison provides dynamic access to six decades of age-specific net migration data for all counties in the U.S. as well as 10 years of estimates by age-race and sex. Access the site at www.netmigration.wisc.edu .

  8. For information regarding projections (estimating the future) of the population for Missouri and the U.S. see our population projections web page. National (but no longer State) Level Projections are available from the Census Bureau.

    The Cooper Center at the U of Virginia offers national and state level projections with detail by age and sex. These have been generating using the results of the 2010 census and go through 2040.

  9. An alternative set of state and county level estimates by age (single years), race, sex and hispanic origin that use an alternate set of 4 ("bridged") race categories (for comparability with pre-2000 race categories before the advent of multi-race groups) were commissioned by the National Center for Health Statistics. The MCDC has downloaded and converted these estimates, which include both intercensal estimates for the decade of the 90s as well as post-2000 estimates. Find out more about this collection at the NCHS Bridged Estimates Readme page. (From there you can follow the link at the bottom of the page to access the actual data.)
  10. Uexplore/Dexter users can access city-level estimates for Missouri (thru 2017) in the mosc16 dataset or data for the entire US (including Mo) are available in the ussc17 dataset. (Note: Dataset names here are links to invoke Dexter for accessing those datasets.) These data for 2017 were released in May of 2018.

  11. Housing unit estimates by county are available in the popests data directory. We put up two new files for each annual data cycle. As of May 2015 you can access the latest data for all counties (plus states and the nation) via Dexter in the ushuests17, or you can get the Missouri subset of the same data in mohuests2017 data set.

  12. (This isn't exactly population estimates but we thought you'd want to know):
    Income (median household) and poverty estimates are produced by the Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates program at the Census Bureau. These intercensal estimates are available for states, counties and school districts. They can be easily accessed at the SAIPE web site. The Missouri Census Data Center has downloaded these estimates and created value-added datasets within the MCDC data archive. These can be accessed via our Uexplore/Dexter software in the saipe filetype directory.

  13. See the Census Bureau's Population Estimates page for more reports and for access to downloadable data files. This is the ultimate and authoritative source for almost all population estimates in the United States. Nearly all of the data that appears on the MCDC site is (or could be) based on data downloaded from this site. (We already provided this link at the top of the page next to the FAQ link but it's important enough to mention it twice.)

  14. See our Geographic Reference Reports page for links to an array of reports dealing with geographic subjects, some of which include recent population estimates (such as the reports showing the most recent estimates for all U.S. metro- and micropolitan statistical areas.)

Population estimates are produced as part of the Federal State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates (FSCPE) Program and released by the U.S. Census Bureau. The person who produces population estimates in conjunction with the Census Bureau for Missouri is the state demographer (see contact info, below) in the Office of Administration.

For more information about population estimates and the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, contact:

Matt Hesser, State Demographer, Matt.Hesser@oa.mo.gov
Missouri Office of Administration, Jefferson City, MO